Marketing

The Targeting Paradox: How Small Markets Navigate the Future of TV Advertising

Kristaps Safranovs / November 28, 2024

As the global media landscape grapples with the disappearance of third-party cookies and increasing privacy regulations, broadcasters and advertisers face a critical decision: invest heavily in sophisticated targeting capabilities or maintain broader reach strategies. This question becomes particularly intriguing in smaller markets like the Baltics, where the economics of hyper-targeting may not always align with market realities.

The Targeting Challenge in Small Markets

The television and digital advertising industry is experiencing unprecedented disruption. Recent studies show that up to 90% of consumers will become “cookieless” over time, while publishers face a potential 31% reduction in CPMs in a privacy-safe world. However, these statistics, primarily derived from large markets, may tell a different story in smaller regions.

In Latvia and other Baltic states, the equation becomes more complex. While global platforms like Facebook and Google offer sophisticated targeting capabilities, local media companies must carefully weigh the costs and benefits of implementing similar systems. The key question becomes: Does the investment in advanced targeting infrastructure make economic sense in a market where broad reach might be more cost-effective?

The Case for Balanced Approach

Several factors suggest that small markets might benefit from a hybrid approach:

  1. Cost-Efficiency of Broad Reach: In markets with smaller populations, the cost of reaching most of the audience through traditional means may be lower than implementing and maintaining sophisticated targeting systems.
  2. Market Knowledge: Local media companies often have deep understanding of their markets, allowing for effective macro-segmentation without needing granular data.
  3. Resource Allocation: The investment required for advanced targeting systems might be better spent on content quality and distribution in smaller markets.

The Collaborative Opportunity

One intriguing solution emerging from market analysis is the potential for shared Customer Data Platforms (CDPs) across local media companies. This approach, similar to initiatives like Utiq in Europe, could provide several advantages:

  1. Shared Infrastructure Costs: By distributing the investment across multiple players, advanced targeting becomes more economically viable.
  2. Enhanced Competitive Position: A unified local solution could better compete with global platforms.
  3. Privacy Compliance: Centralized data management could help ensure consistent privacy standards and regulatory compliance.

Winners and Losers in a Collaborative Model

The impact of a shared CDP would likely vary across different market participants:

Large Media Companies:

  • Benefit from infrastructure they might have struggled to justify independently
  • Risk sharing valuable first-party data with competitors
  • Gain access to broader market insights

Smaller Local Companies:

  • Access to sophisticated targeting capabilities previously out of reach
  • Opportunity to compete more effectively with larger players
  • Potential for improved advertising yield through better targeting

Looking Forward: The Baltic Opportunity

The Baltic region’s unique characteristics – relatively small populations, high digital adoption, and strong local media presence – create an opportunity for innovation in advertising technology deployment. Success stories like TVNZ in New Zealand, which implemented AWS Clean Room technology to enable privacy-safe data collaboration, show how smaller market players can innovate in this space.

Practical Considerations

For Baltic media companies considering their targeting strategy, several factors deserve consideration:

  1. Market Size vs. Investment: Carefully evaluate the return on investment for sophisticated targeting in relation to market reach.
  2. Collaboration Potential: Explore partnerships with other local media companies to share infrastructure costs.
  3. Technical Integration: Consider solutions like AWS Clean Room that enable data collaboration while maintaining privacy.
  4. Advertiser Needs: Balance the sophistication of targeting offerings with actual advertiser demands in the market.

Conclusion

The future of advertising in small markets like the Baltics may not lie in choosing between hyper-targeting and broad reach, but in finding innovative ways to combine both approaches. Through collaborative models and smart technology deployment, local media companies can build competitive solutions that serve their market’s unique needs while maintaining economic viability.

The key to success will be choosing the right level of targeting sophistication for the market size while exploring collaborative opportunities that can make advanced capabilities more accessible to all players.